Czech Republic: Political Landscape Ahead of the 2025 Parliamentary Elections (3–4 October)

On 3–4 October 2025, the Czech Republic elects 200 deputies to the Chamber of Deputies (Poslanecká sněmovna). The race pits the ruling Spolu coalition led by Prime Minister Petr Fiala against the opposition ANO movement of Andrej Babiš. Polls suggest ANO leads but coalition arithmetic remains uncertain.

Economic-security factors weigh heavily. The growth of the Czech defence sector—especially contracts linked to Ukraine—creates inertia for maintaining defence cooperation irrespective of political change.

IDR position. The outcome in Prague may influence EU unity on Ukraine: from continuity under a pro-European coalition to a more transactional approach if ANO governs with Eurosceptic partners. Still, security interests and industrial ties act as safeguards against abrupt policy shifts.

IDR Analytical Brief